Finance & Accounting

Probability-The Engine of Inference

Course Overview

  • Course Title: Probability-The Engine of Inference
  • Instructor: Robert (Bob) Steele
  • Target Audience:
    • Students with basic math skills
    • Individuals with logical thinking and problem-solving skills
    • Those interested in data and decision-making
  • Prerequisites:
    • Basic Math Skills: Foundational understanding of algebra, including fractions, percentages, and solving simple equations
    • Logical Thinking and Problem-Solving Skills: Comfortable analyzing problems and thinking critically
    • Interest in Data and Decision-Making: Curiosity about probability and statistics in everyday situations

Curriculum Highlights

  • Key Topics Covered:
    • Definitions of probability, randomness, sample space, and event probabilities
    • Relationship between probability and statistics
    • Probability principles and real-world problem-solving
    • Risk and uncertainty analysis
    • Evaluation of probabilistic models and inductive reasoning
    • Structured decision-making processes incorporating probability
    • Basics of probability and its relationship to statistics
    • Inductive reasoning and statistical inferences
    • Real-world examples and thought experiments involving randomness
    • Pascal’s Wager and expected value
    • Complementary, independent, and mutually exclusive events
    • Sample spaces and event probabilities
    • Role of expected value in evaluating risks
    • Central limit theorem and sample sizes
  • Key Skills Learned:
    • Defining key concepts of probability
    • Explaining the relationship between probability and statistics
    • Applying probability principles to real-world problems
    • Analyzing risk and uncertainty
    • Evaluating probabilistic models
    • Creating structured decision-making processes

Course Format

  • Duration: 3.5 hours of on-demand video
  • Format: Self-paced online course
  • Resources:
    • 1 article
    • 1 downloadable resource
    • Access on mobile and TV
    • Certificate of completion
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